Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.13%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.95%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
