Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0) 
0.03) 
