Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35.13%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.