SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Tenerife |
48.44% ( -2.72) | 27.15% ( 0.36) | 24.4% ( 2.35) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( 0.57) | 59.15% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.41% ( 0.43) | 79.58% ( -0.44) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -1.01) | 24.53% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( -1.43) | 59% ( 1.42) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( 2.62) | 40.18% ( -2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( 2.3) | 76.81% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.73) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.81)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.4% |
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