Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
