SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Cartagena |
64.06% ( -0.13) | 21.85% ( 0.03) | 14.1% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( 0.07) | 52.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( 0.06) | 74.12% ( -0.06) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.02) | 15.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.13% ( -0.03) | 44.87% ( 0.04) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( 0.19) | 48.29% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.56% ( 0.14) | 83.44% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 64.05% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.1% |
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