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Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 19, 2021 at 6pm UK
Cartagonova, Cartagena, Murcia

Cartagena
1 - 0
Sporting Gijon

Castro (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kravets (64'), Babin (83')
Kravets (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Sporting Gijon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawSporting Gijon
37.9%29.9%32.19%
Both teams to score 42.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35%65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11%83.89%
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88%33.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28%69.72%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98%37.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19%73.81%
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 37.89%
    Sporting Gijon 32.19%
    Draw 29.9%
CartagenaDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 13.54%
2-0 @ 7.49%
2-1 @ 7.44%
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.9%
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 32.19%

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