Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.34%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.