Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
