Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.21%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.