Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.23%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
