SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Leganes |
34.64% ( 0.18) | 30% ( 0.12) | 35.36% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 42.14% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.36) | 65.09% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.04% ( -0.25) | 83.96% ( 0.25) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.07) | 35.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -0.07) | 72.09% ( 0.07) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.4) | 34.83% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.42) | 71.57% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.99% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
