Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leganes in this match.
0.18) 
-0.3) 
