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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 4, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Lazio
0 - 3
AC Milan


Lukaku (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (23'), Ibrahimovic (34' pen.), Rebic (59')
Paqueta (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
47.17%25.1%27.73%
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77%71.23%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13%20.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43%53.57%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 47.16%
    AC Milan 27.73%
    Draw 25.1%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.73%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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