Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
