Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
57.97% | 21.17% | 20.85% |
Both teams to score 59.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% | 38.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% | 60.7% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% | 13.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.37% | 39.63% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% | 31.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% | 68.3% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.62% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 6.69% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.97% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 20.85% |
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