SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
29.41% ( 0.71) | 26.33% ( 0.11) | 44.26% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( -0.09) | 53.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.08) | 74.82% ( 0.08) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.49) | 32.82% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.54) | 69.38% ( -0.54) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( -0.43) | 23.94% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( -0.62) | 58.17% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.41% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.26% |
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