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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
M
Monza

Atalanta
5 - 2
Monza

Koopmeiners (12', 45+1', 79'), Hojlund (74'), Muriel (90+2')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colpani (51'), Petagna (81')
Rovella (33'), Izzo (63')
Santos (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Monza

Given Atalanta are rarely convincing on home soil and Monza have proved themselves solid when hitting the road, a share of the spoils is on the cards. The visitors recruited well last summer and have forged a fearless mentality; in many ways, following in the footsteps of their hosts - Serie A's serial overachievers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
59.53% (0.729 0.73) 22.28% (0.189 0.19) 18.19% (-0.916 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-2.251 -2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-2.177 -2.18)47.27% (2.177 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-2.053 -2.05)69.5% (2.055 2.06)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (-0.49900000000001 -0.5)15.49% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (-0.938 -0.94)44.39% (0.939 0.94)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (-2.295 -2.3)39.79% (2.296 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-2.182 -2.18)76.46% (2.184 2.18)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 59.52%
    Monza 18.19%
    Draw 22.28%
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.83 0.83)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.52%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, May 7 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Spezia
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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