Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
59.53% ( 0.73) | 22.28% ( 0.19) | 18.19% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -2.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% ( -2.18) | 47.27% ( 2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% ( -2.05) | 69.5% ( 2.06) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.5) | 15.49% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( -0.94) | 44.39% ( 0.94) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% ( -2.3) | 39.79% ( 2.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% ( -2.18) | 76.46% ( 2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.19% |
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