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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
TL

Cremonese
1 - 2
Torino

Sernicola (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlasic (17'), Radonjic (65')
Aina (54'), Buongiorno (64'), Linetty (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cremonese
Monday, August 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 0-1 Torino

While Cremonese understandably lost their first two league games, in the club's seven previous Serie A seasons, they have never lost each of their first three. However, that unwanted club record could be created on Saturday evening, as Torino are a disciplined unit and can keep another clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawTorino
47.38% (1.254 1.25) 26.67% (-0.041 -0.04) 25.95% (-1.21 -1.21)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.783 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.56 -0.56)56.43% (0.563 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.455 -0.46)77.44% (0.45699999999999 0.46)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.349 0.35)23.83% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (0.498 0.5)58.01% (-0.496 -0.5)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-1.321 -1.32)37.29% (1.324 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-1.328 -1.33)74.07% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 47.38%
    Torino 25.95%
    Draw 26.67%
CremoneseDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.375 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.095 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cremonese
Monday, August 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 3-2 Ternana
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 1-2 Cremonese
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Crotone 3-1 Cremonese
Monday, April 25 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Palermo
Saturday, August 6 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-3 Torino
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A


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