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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
BL

Cagliari
1 - 2
Benevento

Pedro (20')
Caligara (5'), Nandez (84'), Sottil (89'), Pisacane (90+4')
Nandez (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sau (41'), Tuia (44')
Schiattarella (6'), Caprari (84'), Improta (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawBenevento
25.6%25.61%48.79%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34%52.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7%74.3%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71%72.28%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4%21.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3%54.69%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.6%
    Benevento 48.79%
    Draw 25.6%
CagliariDrawBenevento
1-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.6%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 9.01%
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.79%

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