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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL

Lazio
5 - 3
Benevento

Depaoli (10' og.), Immobile (20', 90+6'), Correa (36' pen.), Montipo (48' og.)
Akpa-Akpro (70'), Parolo (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sau (45'), Viola (62' pen.), Glik (85')
Montipo (35'), Schiattarella (50'), Glik (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawBenevento
66.51%19.4%14.08%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3%64.71%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.17%11.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.93%37.07%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94%42.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52%78.48%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.5%
    Benevento 14.08%
    Draw 19.41%
LazioDrawBenevento
2-0 @ 11.33%
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.03%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 66.5%
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 4.97%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.08%

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