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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
PL

Cagliari
4 - 3
Parma

Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
39.79%25.99%34.22%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.29%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09%24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47%59.53%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25%63.75%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 39.79%
    Parma 34.22%
    Draw 25.98%
CagliariDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.79%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.22%

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