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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
PL

Benevento
2 - 2
Parma

Glik (23'), Ionita (67')
Hetemaj (76'), Di Serio (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kurtic (55'), Man (88')
Bani (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
BeneventoDrawParma
33.42%26.14%40.44%
Both teams to score 53.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86%51.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01%72.98%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13%64.86%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07%24.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45%59.54%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 33.42%
    Parma 40.44%
    Draw 26.13%
BeneventoDrawParma
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.42%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.44%

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