Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.