Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.