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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
AL

Crotone
1 - 2
Atalanta

Simy (40')
Marrone (49'), Stroppa (66')
Stroppa (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muriel (26', 38')
Hateboer (37'), Toloi (62'), Romero (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawAtalanta BC
21.22%21%57.78%
Both teams to score 60.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.77%59.23%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27%30.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33%67%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33%12.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16%38.84%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 21.23%
    Atalanta BC 57.78%
    Draw 21%
CrotoneDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.6%
1-0 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-3 @ 6.75%
0-3 @ 5.72%
2-3 @ 3.98%
1-4 @ 3.49%
0-4 @ 2.96%
2-4 @ 2.06%
1-5 @ 1.44%
0-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 57.78%


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