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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
CL

Sassuolo
4 - 1
Crotone

Berardi (19'), Caputo (58' pen., 85'), Locatelli (90+3')
Chiriches (24'), Kiriakopoulos (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Simy (49' pen.)
Magallan (64'), Cigarini (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCrotone
39.83%22.8%37.37%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19%56.81%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9%49.1%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06%50.95%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 39.83%
    Crotone 37.37%
    Draw 22.8%
SassuoloDrawCrotone
2-1 @ 8.38%
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.83%
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 3.49%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-1 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 37.37%


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