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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
SL

Bologna
3 - 4
Sassuolo

Soriano (9'), Svanberg (39'), Orsolini (60')
Svanberg (35'), M'baye (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berardi (18'), Duricic (64'), Caputo (70'), Tomiyasu (77' og.)
Locatelli (73'), Ayhan (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawSassuolo
43.85%23.83%32.32%
Both teams to score 60.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9%41.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51%63.49%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99%19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43%50.57%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.36%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 43.85%
    Sassuolo 32.32%
    Draw 23.82%
BolognaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.32%


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