Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
