Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
