Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.