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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
BL

Parma
0 - 3
Bologna


Conti (35'), Gagliolo (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barrow (15', 33'), Orsolini (90+2')
Svanberg (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawBologna
31.93%25.85%42.22%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67%50.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73%72.27%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43%65.57%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24%57.76%
Score Analysis
    Parma 31.93%
    Bologna 42.21%
    Draw 25.85%
ParmaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.21%

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