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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
BL

Torino
3 - 1
Brescia

Mateju (48' og.), Belotti (58'), Zaza (86')
Zaza (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torregrossa (21')
Papetti (52'), Tonali (56'), Donnarumma (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawBrescia
48.23%25.78%25.98%
Both teams to score 50.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95%53.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36%74.63%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68%55.31%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.17%
Score Analysis
    Torino 48.23%
    Brescia 25.98%
    Draw 25.77%
TorinoDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.98%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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