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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
CL

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari

Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
60.88%21.71%17.42%
Both teams to score 51.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35%14.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21%42.79%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03%39.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.38%76.62%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 60.87%
    Cagliari 17.42%
    Draw 21.7%
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 6.34%
4-0 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.28%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.31%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.42%

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