Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.