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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
JL

Cagliari
1 - 3
Juventus

Simeone (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ronaldo (10', 25' pen., 32')
Ronaldo (14'), Cuadrado (18')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawJuventus
10.75%15.58%73.67%
Both teams to score 54.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.5%32.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.85%54.15%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56%77.44%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.44%7.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.93%27.07%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 10.75%
    Juventus 73.67%
    Draw 15.58%
CagliariDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 3.19%
1-0 @ 2.76%
2-0 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 10.75%
1-1 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.13%
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.58%
0-2 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-3 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 7.94%
0-4 @ 5.73%
1-4 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.55%
0-5 @ 2.96%
1-5 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.29%
0-6 @ 1.28%
2-5 @ 1.19%
1-6 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 73.67%

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