Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.