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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
CL

Crotone
0 - 2
Cagliari


Di Carmine (38'), Magallan (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (56'), Pedro (60' pen.)
Ceppitelli (4'), Lykogiannis (10'), Rugani (46')
Lykogiannis (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
CrotoneDrawCagliari
40.09%25.41%34.5%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23%47.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05%69.95%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4%23.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33%57.67%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33%26.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08%61.91%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 40.09%
    Cagliari 34.51%
    Draw 25.41%
CrotoneDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.51%

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