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Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
LL

Hellas Verona
1 - 5
Lazio

Amrabat (38' pen.)
Rrahmani (45+2'), Radunovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Immobile (45+5' pen., 83', 90+4' pen.), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Correa (62')
Marusic (67'), Strakosha (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawLazio
28.43%24.74%46.84%
Both teams to score 55.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.4%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.58%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49%52.51%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 28.43%
    Lazio 46.84%
    Draw 24.73%
Hellas VeronaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.43%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 7.85%
1-3 @ 4.99%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.84%


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