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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
CL

Genoa
1 - 0
Cagliari

Destro (10')
Destro (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nandez (20'), Zappa (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawCagliari
44.35%26.19%29.47%
Both teams to score 51.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34%52.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69%74.31%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36%23.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27%57.73%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54%32.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02%68.98%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 44.34%
    Cagliari 29.47%
    Draw 26.18%
GenoaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.47%

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