Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.