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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
SC

Cremonese
2 - 0
Spezia

Ciofani (41'), Vasquez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Agudelo (76'), Ampadu (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Spezia
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 2-1 Spezia

Having demonstrated the more convincing form of these two strugglers, Cremonese can build on their near-miss in Milan and keep their fight for survival alive. Victory would take them within four points of their ailing visitors; setting up an almighty scrap in the final four rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSpezia
42.77% (0.534 0.53) 25.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.69% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)49.11% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.235 0.23)22.86% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.344 0.34)56.59% (-0.343 -0.34)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.358 -0.36)29.1% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.447 -0.45)65.02% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 42.77%
    Spezia 31.69%
    Draw 25.53%
CremoneseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Empoli
Friday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-3 Cremonese
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Spezia
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Lazio
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 8 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A


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