Deflated by their defeat in the Coppa Italia, Cremonese also tend to run out of steam during the closing stages of games, so will be vulnerable to an improving Sampdoria side on Saturday.
The visitors have conceded 12 goals to substitutes in Serie A this season - including two last time out - which is the most of any side throughout the league; Samp can therefore snatch a winner in a close-fought contest, to keep survival dreams alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.06) 
