Lazio have comfortably swept aside Spezia in recent meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Friday considering the hosts' improvements over the last two weeks.
Nevertheless, Lazio should have too much strength in the final third and will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top at the Stadio Alberto Picco.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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