Cremonese are running out of games to pull off a miraculous revival and they know that anything but a win on Wednesday will put them on the brink of relegation. However, success at San Siro will be a tall order for the visitors, with Milan the firm favourites to secure a routine home win to keep their Champions League qualification hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Cremonese
71.63% ( 0.84)	17.93% ( -0.11)	10.44% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-2.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

-1.53)

44.87% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-1.49)

67.23% (

1.49)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-0.2)

11.19% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.31% (

-0.44)

35.69% (

0.44)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.21% (

-2.36)

49.79% (

2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.49% (

-1.7)

84.51% (

1.7)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 71.62%

Cremonese 10.44%

Draw 17.93%

AC Milan	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.62%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.93%	0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.23% Total : 10.44%