Fiorentina have never drawn in their last 11 Serie A season openers and are set to continue that run with victory on Sunday. Both sides have invested in new attacking options, so an entertaining encounter surely awaits at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
72.9% ( 5.38)	16.58% ( -2.19)	10.52% ( -3.19)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.66% (

1.88)

38.33% (

-1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.38% (

1.97)

60.61% (

-1.97)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

1.82)

9.14% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.98% (

4.18)

31.01% (

-4.19)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.67% (

-4.05)

45.33% (

4.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8% (

-3.39)

81.19% (

3.38)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 72.89%

Cremonese 10.52%

Draw 16.58%

Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.8) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 1.31) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 5.66% ( 1.15) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.72) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.35) Other @ 4.02% Total : 72.89%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.01) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.62) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.58%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.81) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.86% Total : 10.52%