Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
