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Serie B | Gameweek 36
Jul 24, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
Armando Picchi
CL

Livorno
1 - 5
Crotone

Trovato (12')
Fremura (45')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Zanellato (31'), Simy (35', 59' pen.), Gerbo (40'), Molina (55')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Livorno and Crotone.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Livorno win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crotone would win this match.

Result
LivornoDrawCrotone
19.1%22.38%58.52%
Both teams to score 52.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37%68.63%
Livorno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78%38.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02%74.98%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58%44.42%
Score Analysis
    Livorno 19.1%
    Crotone 58.51%
    Draw 22.37%
LivornoDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-1 @ 5.11%
2-0 @ 2.74%
3-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 11.04%
0-2 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 6.15%
0-4 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-5 @ 1.11%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.51%


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