Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crotone in this match.