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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
SL

Crotone
1 - 2
Sassuolo

Ounas (26')
Vulic (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berardi (14'), Caputo (49' pen.)
Peluso (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sassuolo in this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawSassuolo
33.62%23.37%43.01%
Both teams to score 63.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56%38.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27%60.73%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22%22.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53%56.47%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 33.62%
    Sassuolo 43.01%
    Draw 23.36%
CrotoneDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 6.16%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 5.04%
2-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 43.01%

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