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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
San Siro
CL

AC Milan
4 - 0
Crotone

Ibrahimovic (30', 64'), Rebic (69', 70')
Saelemaekers (36'), Romagnoli (81'), Calabria (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rispoli (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawCrotone
65.57%18.25%16.18%
Both teams to score 60.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.81%32.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.21%53.79%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.8%31.2%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06%32.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48%69.52%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 65.57%
    Crotone 16.18%
    Draw 18.25%
AC MilanDrawCrotone
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 7.24%
3-0 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 4.23%
4-0 @ 4.09%
4-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-2 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 65.57%
1-1 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 5.32%
0-0 @ 3.04%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-2 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 16.18%

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