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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
JL

Empoli
0 - 2
Juventus


Bereszynski (43'), Gyasi (86'), Destro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Danilo (24'), Chiesa (82')
Locatelli (15'), Vlahovic (48'), Miretti (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 0-1 Juventus

Although a late flurry in the transfer market has bolstered Empoli's squad, they may still come up just short on Sunday; continuing their wait for a first point of the season. Juventus have the necessary firepower to see off their hosts and enter the international break on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawJuventus
24.18% (0.863 0.86) 25.02% (0.802 0.8) 50.8% (-1.665 -1.67)
Both teams to score 50.93% (-1.512 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-2.466 -2.47)51.48% (2.466 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-2.19 -2.19)73.29% (2.19 2.19)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-0.58 -0.58)36.12% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-0.595 -0.59)72.9% (0.596 0.6)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-1.625 -1.63)20.27% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (-2.662 -2.66)52.62% (2.662 2.66)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 24.18%
    Juventus 50.79%
    Draw 25.01%
EmpoliDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.601 0.6)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.695 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 11.68% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 9.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Cittadella
Saturday, August 12 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 4-1 Juventus
Monday, May 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-3 Juventus
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 3 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 AC Milan (0-0 pen.)
Friday, July 28 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Udinese 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A


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