There is little between the teams, but Monza could nick a slender win against Empoli, whose winless run at the U-Power Stadium should continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Empoli
54.66% ( -0.03)	23.85% ( 0.01)	21.48% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

49.41% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

71.45% (

-0)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.01)

17.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.02)

48.8% (

0.02)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5% (

0.03)

37.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

0.03)

74.28% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Monza 54.66%

Empoli 21.48%

Draw 23.84%

Monza	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.66%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.48%